Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Brain Drugs Fine for Healthy People, Says Group


Healthy people should have the right to boost their brains with pills, like those prescribed for hyperactive kids or memory-impaired older folks, several scientists contend in a provocative commentary.
College students are already illegally taking prescription stimulants like Ritalin to help them study, and demand for such drugs is likely to grow elsewhere, they said.
"We should welcome new methods of improving our brain function," and doing it with pills is no more morally objectionable than eating right or getting a good night's sleep, these experts wrote in an opinion piece published online Sunday by the journal Nature.
The commentary calls for more research and a variety of steps for managing the risks.As more effective brain-boosting pills are developed, demand for them is likely to grow among middle-aged people who want youthful memory powers and multitasking workers who need to keep track of multiple demands, said one commentary author, brain scientist Martha Farah of the University of Pennsylvania.
"Almost everybody is going to want to use it," said Farah.
"I would be the first in line if safe and effective drugs were developed that trumped caffeine," another author, Michael Gazzaniga of the University of California, Santa Barbara, declared in an e-mail.
The seven authors, from the United States and Britain, include ethics experts and the editor-in-chief of Nature as well as scientists. They developed their case at a seminar funded by Nature and Rockefeller University in New York. Two authors said they consult for pharmaceutical companies; Farah said she had no such financial ties.
Some health experts agreed that the issue deserves attention. But the commentary didn't impress Leigh Turner of the University of Minnesota Center for Bioethics.
"It's a nice puff piece for selling medications for people who don't have an illness of any kind," Turner said.
The commentary cites a 2001 survey of about 11,000 American college students that found 4 percent had used prescription stimulants illegally in the prior year. But at some colleges, the figure was as high as 25 percent.
"It's a felony, but it's being done," said Farah.The stimulants Adderall and Ritalin are prescribed mainly for people with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, but they can help other people focus their attention and handle information in their heads, the commentary said.
Another drug called Provigil is approved for sleep disorders but is also prescribed for healthy people who need to stay alert when sleep-deprived, the commentary says. Lab studies show it can also perk up the brains of well-rested people. And some drugs developed for Alzheimer's disease also provide a modest memory boost, it said.
Ritalin is made by Switzerland-based Novartis AG, but the drug is also available generically. Adderall is made by U.K.-based Shire PLC and Montvale, N.J.-based Barr Pharmaceuticals Inc., and some formulations are also available generically. Provigil is made by Cephalon Inc. of Frazer, Pa.
While supporting the concept that healthy adults should be able to use brain-boosting drugs, the authors called for:
More research into the use, benefits and risks of such drugs. Much is unknown about the current medications, such as the risk of dependency when used for this purpose, the commentary said.
Policies to guard against people being coerced into taking them.
Steps to keep the benefits from making socio-economic inequalities worse.
Action by doctors, educators and others to develop policies on the use of such drugs by healthy people.
Legislative action to allow drug companies to market the drugs to healthy people if they meet regulatory standards for safety and effectiveness.

Dr. Nora Volkow, director of the National Institute on Drug Abuse, said she agreed with the commentary that the non-prescribed use of brain-boosting drugs must be studied.
But she said she was concerned that wider use of stimulants could lead more people to become addicted to them. That's what happened decades ago when they were widely prescribed for a variety of disorders, she said.
"Whether we like it or not, that property of stimulants is not going to go away," she said.
Erik Parens, a senior research scholar at the Hastings Center, a bioethics think tank in Garrison, N.Y., said the commentary makes a convincing case that "we ought to be opening this up for public scrutiny and public conversation."
One challenge will be finding ways to protect people against subtle coercion to use the drugs, the kind of thing parents feel when neighbor kids sign up for SAT prep courses, he said.
And if the nation moves to providing a basic package of health care to all its citizens, it's hard to see how it could afford to include brain-boosting drugs, he said. If they have to be bought separately, it raises the question about promoting societal inequalities, he said.

Asteroid Impacts Gave Crucial Spark to Early Life


Better known as end-bringers than life-givers, asteroid impacts may have forged the chemicals essential for life in Earth's ancient oceans.
Between 4.2 and 3.8 billion years ago, in a period known as the Late Heavy Bombardment, space rocks rained down on the planet 100,000 times more frequently than they do today. It would seem an inhospitable environment for life to take its first tentative steps.
But new research on the chemistry of this fiery onslaught suggests the impacts produced a host of carboxylic acids, amines, and amino acids -- essential compounds for building proteins, and a food source for primitive organisms.
Yoshihiro Furukawa of Tohoku University in Japan and a team of researchers found how these complex molecules were forged in a laboratory experiment mimicking the impact of an iron and carbon-rich asteroid into seawater."Carbon and nitrogen are already abundant in the atmosphere," Takeshi Kakegawa, also of Tohoku University, said. "But hydrogen and oxygen are still needed to form organic molecules."
That's where the asteroid comes in. In an impact, the iron in a meteorite acts as a catalysts to break up water molecules, allowing hydrogen and oxygen to bond with carbon and nitrogen to form the complex molecules.The group's experiment was small; each sample weighed about one-fourth of a gram, or less than the weight of a small paper clip. But if extrapolated to the huge impacts that were thought to have occurred during the Late Heavy Bombardment, the team estimated that over 100 billion metric tons of organic material could've been produced in this way.
If diluted throughout early Earth's ocean, it probably wouldn't do much to stimulate the emergence of life. Instead, Matthew Pasek of Arizona University argues the molecules must be concentrated in some way if they were to form a stew suitable to give rise to the first living creatures.
"One way to overcome the dilution problem would be with a crater; that would concentrate your reagents. It would make an instant cereal bowl," Pasek said. "You can sort of envision prebiotic experiments going on in hundreds of warm, shallow pools, like Darwin imagined."
The finding also seems to strike a blow against the theory of panspermia -- the idea that life or the building blocks of life originated in outer space, and then were transported to Earth by comets and asteroids. The study is published in the current issue of Nature Geoscience.
"Many people think you need to bring amino acids from space," Kakegawa said. "We think that important geological events here on Earth could do this."

First Exoplanet With CO2 Heats Up Hunt for Other Earths


The recent discovery of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere of a Jupiter-like planet 63 light-years away has some researchers excited that we may soon find habitable exoplanets—worlds circling other stars.

According to lead author Mark Swain of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, carbon dioxide is a biomarker, a molecule associated with life as we know it.
This first discovery of the molecule on a far-flung planet, he said, is a step toward eventually finding biomarkers on smaller, more Earthlike worlds.

Last March, Swain and colleagues had announced the first detection of another biologically important chemical, methane, on the same exoplanet, as well as confirmation of water vapor.

"Methane is a potential marker [of life], as is water, as is carbon dioxide," Swain said. "So, three of the biggies we've already detected."

But not all planetary scientists are embracing the idea that finding chemicals such as carbon dioxide and methane on a distant planet is enough to say it is habitable.

On Earth, for example, carbon dioxide traps a certain amount of sunlight, keeping temperatures warm enough to support life. But on Venus, too much carbon dioxide creates a killing heat—average temperatures there reach 864 degrees Fahrenheit (462 degrees Celsius).

"To me, a CO2-dominated atmosphere says the planet would certainly be more like Venus than Earth," said Ellen Stofan, a planetary geologist for Proxemy Research in Maryland and a member of NASA's Cassini science team.

"To say it precludes life or guarantees life are both going out on a limb—we just don't know. But it is intriguing!"

Free Oxygen

Swain and colleagues made the CO2 discovery while studying radiation from an exoplanet dubbed HD 189733b.

The planet periodically transits—or passes in front of—its host star, giving observers a measurement of the star and planet's combined light.

By subtracting the light from the star alone from the combined measurement, astronomers can "see" the planet's light.

Reading signatures from this light then told astronomers the chemical composition of the planet's atmosphere.
Swain acknowledges that HD 189733b is too big, gaseous, and hot to host life as we know it.

But the fact that we are now able to find biomarkers such as carbon dioxide on worlds so far away means that we'll know what to look for when reading light signatures from smaller, rocky planets like Earth.

So far, the most elusive biomarker on any exoplanet has been oxygen.

The only thing that drives the presence of free oxygen molecules on Earth is plants, points out Geoff Marcy, an astronomer at the University of California, Berkeley, who was not involved with the carbon dioxide study.

Without plants to generate O2, all the oxygen in the atmosphere would eventually react with other elements and be trapped.

"If you could detect free oxygen [on an exoplanet], then you'd have something. That would be remarkable," Marcy said.

Planet-Hunter's Toolkit

Astronomers searching for habitable exoplanets must first face the daunting challenge of finding distant Earthlike worlds.

Astronomers think at least half of the sunlike stars in our galaxy could host habitable terrestrial worlds.

But most of the more than 330 exoplanets found since the first discovery in 1995 have been large gaseous bodies that resemble Jupiter. Plenty have also been detected that are closer to the size of Saturn or Neptune, down to 17 times the mass of Earth.

Planets down to about five times the mass of Earth have been much rarer discoveries, and Berkeley's Marcy believes rocky planets—the holy grail, he calls them—are likely to be no more than three times the mass of Earth.

For now planetary detection methods are best suited to spotting larger bodies.

So far 270 of the known exoplanets have been detected using the so-called Doppler wobble, a shift in light from the parent star caused by a massive planet's gravitational tug.

About 50 or 60 exoplanets have been found because they transit their parent stars, and about 5 worlds have been spotted using a bizarre physical phenomenon predicted by Einstein's theory of relativity: gravitational lensing.

This is when light from other stars is bent by the gravitational tug of an object in the foreground that is orbiting a star too faint for us to see from Earth.

Marcy has high hopes that NASA's upcoming Kepler mission will bring the quest for rocky exoplanets closer to its goal.

"It's the hottest thing going, there's nothing even close to it," said Marcy, who is part of the Kepler science working group.

Set to launch on March 5, the space telescope is designed to find other Earths by staring at the constellation Cygnus and detecting stars that dim due to transiting planets.

Cygnus was chosen because it contains a large number of stars and won't be obscured by the sun at any time of the year.

The probe's photometers are sensitive enough to catch minute changes in light that result during a transit by a small planet, and its "eye" can see a hundred thousand stars at once.

"If Kepler finds that most stars have a terrestrial planet in the habitable zone, then there must be billions of such planets in our galaxy and life could be ubiquitous," said William Borucki, Kepler mission lead scientist at NASA.

"On the other hand, if Kepler finds no terrestrial planets or extremely few, then life of any type must be very rare. We could be the only sentient life."

Planet Trek

Even if Kepler proves there are scores of habitable worlds within Cygnus, the constellation contains stars that are a hundred to more than a thousand light-years away.

That means there won't be much to do but point radio telescopes toward them and scan for spillover from alien communication technologies.
That's because travel to any of its planets using current propulsion methods wouldn't be possible, at least not in a single generation, Marcy noted.

The idea requires acceptance of "having your great grandchildren be the ones who arrive at Alpha Centauri, not you."

Meanwhile, Notre Dame's Bennett points out that heavy elements—the main ingredients for planetary systems—are most common near the center of the galaxy, which is billions of years older than our solar system.

This ups the chances that any alien civilizations are much more advanced technologically than humans.

"If they're a few billion years ahead of us," Bennett said, "it's more of a question of them getting here than us getting there."

Malaria Vaccine Shows Promise


A vaccine that may become the world's first to prevent malaria shows promise in protecting African children, researchers said Monday, calling the results a "major milestone."
In early tests, the experimental vaccine was more than 50 percent effective in preventing the deadly disease in infants and toddlers in two countries in Africa, the scientists said. A larger and longer test is expected to begin early next year, the latest effort at slowing a disease that kills nearly 1 million people annually.
It is the first malaria vaccine to make it this far, and if further studies are successful, marketing approval could be sought as early as 2011. The vaccine was developed by the British-based GlaxoSmithKline PLC.
The results "add to our confidence that we are closer than ever before" to a malaria vaccine for African children, Dr. Christian Loucq, director of the PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative, said during a teleconference from New Orleans.
The nonprofit group was started with a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to help develop malaria vaccines and make sure they're available where needed. The group teamed up with GlaxoSmithKline, and both paid for the vaccine studies.
The findings were presented Monday at a New Orleans meeting of the American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene and will be in Thursday's New England Journal of Medicine. Some of the researchers work for the nonprofit group or the drugmaker.
Malaria is a tropical disease whose victims are mostly young children in sub-Saharan Africa. It is caused by a parasite and spread through a bite from an infected mosquito. The parasite travels quickly to the liver where it matures, enters the bloodstream and causes fever, chills, flu-like symptoms and anemia. The GlaxoSmithKline vaccine is designed to attack the parasite before it can infect the liver.
"Given the magnitude of malaria in Africa, the results represent a major milestone," said Dr. Ally Olotu, one of the researchers from Kilifi, Kenya.
The World Health Organization estimates that some 247 million people worldwide get malaria each year, but the most dangerous type is mainly in Africa. Government and private programs to control it have shown some progress in recent years with the distribution of bed nets, mosquito spraying and better malaria drugs. The United Nations announced a program in September to step up efforts against the disease with the goal of eliminating it by 2015.
The two studies reporting findings Monday were done in rural areas of East Africa.
One study involved 894 children ages 5 months to 17 months in Kenya and Tanzania. During the eight months the children were followed, there were half as many cases of malaria in those who got three vaccine shots compared to those who didn't get them -- an effectiveness rate of 53 percent.Because malaria is so deadly, a vaccine that provides significant protection would be a public health victory.
"The vaccine -- even a partially effective vaccine -- has the potential to save hundreds of thousands of lives each year," Loucq told reporters.
The study was the first test of a version of the vaccine that used a new additive to boost the immune response. The older version was 35 percent effective in earlier tests.
The second study tested whether the malaria vaccine could be given to young infants along with routine childhood vaccines provided through a WHO program. In the study of 340 infants in Tanzania, the researchers found that the malaria vaccine could be safely added and didn't interfere with the effectiveness of the other vaccines.
During six months of follow-up, the vaccine was 65 percent effective against new malaria infections in the infants.
Dr. Salim Abdulla, lead author of the infant study, said the WHO vaccine program reaches even the remotest areas of Africa and would be an ideal way to get a malaria vaccine to the most vulnerable children.
William Collins, a malaria expert at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said that for the vaccine to work, it must recognize and stop the malaria-carrying parasite from invading the liver within just a few seconds to a few minutes.
"To be that effective, and yet have only a short period of time to attack the parasite, it's remarkable that it's that effective at all," said Collins, who wrote an editorial that accompanied the studies, along with John Barnwell, also of the CDC.
They noted that the level of malaria infections was low in the study areas, and that the true test will come in areas with more malaria.
"It is, indeed, a hopeful beginning," they wrote.

Go Nuts for Good Health


Here's a health tip in a nutshell: Eating a handful of nuts every day for a year -- along with a Mediterranean diet rich in fruit, vegetables and fish -- may help undo a collection of risk factors for heart disease.
Spanish researchers found that adding nuts worked better than boosting the olive oil in a typical Mediterranean diet. Both regimens cut the heart risks known as metabolic syndrome in more people than a low-fat diet did.
"What's most surprising is they found substantial metabolic benefits in the absence of calorie reduction or weight loss," said Dr. JoAnn Manson, chief of preventive medicine at Harvard's Brigham and Women's Hospital.
In the study, appearing Monday in the Archives of Internal Medicine, the people who improved most were told to eat about three whole walnuts, seven or eight whole hazelnuts and seven or eight whole almonds. They didn't lose weight, on average, but more of them succeeded in reducing belly fat and improving their cholesterol and blood pressure.Manson, who wasn't involved in the study, cautioned that adding nuts to a Western diet -- one packed with too many calories and junk food -- could lead to weight gain and more health risks. "But using nuts to replace a snack of chips or crackers is a very favorable change to make in your diet," Manson said.
The American Heart Association says 50 million Americans have metabolic syndrome, a combination of health risks, such as high blood pressure and abdominal obesity. Finding a way to reverse it with a diet people find easy and satisfying would mean huge health improvements for many Americans, Manson said.
Nuts help people feel full while also increasing the body's ability to burn fat, said lead author Dr. Jordi Salas-Salvado of the University of Rovira i Virgili in Reus, Spain.
"Nuts could have an effect on metabolic syndrome by multiple mechanisms," Salas-Salvado said in an e-mail. Nuts are rich in anti-inflammatory substances, such as fiber, and antioxidants, such as vitamin E. They are high in unsaturated fat, a healthier fat known to lower blood triglycerides and increase good cholesterol.
More than 1,200 Spaniards, ranging in age from 55 to 80, were randomly assigned to follow one of three diets. They were followed for a year. The participants had no prior history of heart disease, but some had risk factors including Type 2 diabetes, high blood pressure and abdominal obesity.
At the start, 751 people had metabolic syndrome, about 61 percent, distributed evenly among the three groups.
Metabolic syndrome was defined as having three or more of the following conditions: abdominal obesity, high triglycerides, low levels of good cholesterol (HDL), high blood sugar and high blood pressure.
The low-fat group was given basic advice about reducing all fat in their diets. Another group ate a Mediterranean diet with extra nuts. The third group ate a Mediterranean diet and was told to make sure they ate more than four tablespoons of olive oil a day.
Dietitians advised the two groups on the Mediterranean diet to use olive oil for cooking; increase fruit, vegetable and fish consumption; eat white meat instead of beef or processed meat; and prepare homemade tomato sauce with garlic, onions and herbs. Drinkers were told to stick with red wine.
After one year, all three groups had fewer people with metabolic syndrome, but the group eating nuts led the improvement, now with 52 percent having those heart risk factors. In the olive oil group, 57 percent had the syndrome. In the low-fat group, there was very little difference after a year in the percentage of people with the syndrome.
The nut-rich diet didn't do much to improve high blood sugar, but the large number of people with Type 2 diabetes -- about 46 percent of participants -- could be the reason, Salas-Salvado said. It's difficult to get diabetics' blood sugar down with lifestyle changes alone, he said.
To verify that study volunteers ate their nuts, researchers gave some of them a blood test for alpha-linolenic acid found in walnuts.
The study was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Health and the government of Valencia, Spain.
Salas-Salvado and another co-author disclosed in the publication that they are unpaid advisers to nut industry groups. Salas-Salvado said all of their research "has been conducted under standard ethical and scientific rules" and that peer-review journal editors determined the study results were not influenced by food industry ties.

Monday, December 8, 2008

The Cataclysmic Death of Stars


Ever since he was a teenager, Stan Woosley has had a love for chemical elements and a fondness for blowing things up. Growing up in the late 1950s in Texas, "I did everything you could do with potassium nitrate, perchlorate, and permanganate, mixed with a lot of other things," he says. "If you mixed potassium nitrate with sulfur and charcoal, you got gunpowder. If you mixed it with sugar, you got a lot of smoke and a nice pink fire." He tested his explosive concoctions on a Fort Worth golf course: "I screwed the jar down tight and ran like hell."
kaboomWoosley, now an astronomer at the University of California at Santa Cruz, has graduated to bigger explosions—much bigger. Woosley studies some of the most powerful explosions since the birth of the universe: supernovae, the violent deaths of stars.

The universe twinkles with these cataclysms. They happen every second or so, usually in some unimaginably remote galaxy, blazing as bright as hundreds of billions of stars and creating a fireball that expands and cools for months.

We're lucky that they rarely strike close to home. The last supernova in our own galaxy exploded in 1604, rivaling Jupiter's brightness in the night sky and deeply impressing Johannes Kepler, the pioneering astronomer. A nearby supernova—within a few light-years—would bathe the Earth in lethal radiation.

Yet the legacy of supernovas is as close as our own bodies. The carbon in our cells, the oxygen in the air, the silicon in rocks and computer chips, the iron in our blood and our machines—just about every atom heavier than hydrogen and helium—was forged inside ancient stars and strewn across the universe when they exploded billions of years ago. Eager to understand our origins and, in some cases, simply wild about things that go bang, astronomers have been struggling for decades to understand why stars that shine peacefully for millions of years suddenly blow up.

Lately they've had two big breaks. One is a revelation about potent blasts of high-energy gamma rays that come from distant points in the heavens. For decades astronomers have puzzled over their origins, but space probes recently clinched the answer, which Woosley proposed more than a decade ago: Many gamma-ray bursts are the early warning signals from supernovas, emitted minutes before the explosion.

The link offers a glimpse of events leading up to the actual explosion—another mystery. There, too, researchers have made headway. Looking not at the heavens but at computer models of supernovas, some think they have figured out what may trigger the final cataclysm. The missing element may be unimaginably powerful reverberations—the sound of a star singing its own swan song.

For astronomers, there's usually no rush to study something before it vanishes. "The universe usually evolves as slowly as watching paint dry," says one. But these days, hundreds of astronomers keep cell phones and beepers close by so they can rush to work like doctors on call. They're waiting for word from a spacecraft called Swift.

Swift, launched in 2004, scans the skies for gamma rays. When it detects a burst, it swivels its telescopes toward the source to get a good fix and detect the afterglow—the lingering point of light that marks the spot where a burst originated. It also sends an alert to earthbound astronomers, who can take a closer look with bigger telescopes.

Early on February 18, 2006, Swift recorded an outpouring of gamma rays from somewhere toward the constellation Aries. Within three minutes, the satellite had determined the position of the burst and broadcast an alert. Two days later, astronomers at a telescope in Arizona reported that the burst came from a small, nearby galaxy, only a fraction as far away as usual.

Astronomers had already traced a connection between bursts and supernovas. But this burst was so close, and Swift had spotted it so quickly, that scientists hoped it would help confirm what they suspected: A gamma-ray burst is an exploding star's opening act.

After an unusually long flood of gamma rays and x-rays, lasting more than half an hour rather than the typical few seconds, the February 18 burst gave way to visible and infrared light. Within three days this afterglow was fading away—and then the supernova grabbed the spotlight.

Astronomers at the Very Large Telescope in northern Chile were watching the afterglow dwindle when they noticed a brightening. The star had exploded just a minute or so after the burst, but most of its energy was invisible ultraviolet and x-ray radiation. Its visible light had brightened more slowly, and now it was finally outshining the afterglow. For the first time, astronomers had seen a gamma-ray burst evolve into a supernova from the very beginning.

Eighteen days after the supernova flared into view, astronomers were still watching. Atop Palomar Mountain in southern California, the observatory dome's twin shutters slid open under patchy clouds, letting a sliver of night sky fall onto the caged mirror of the 200-inch (508-centimeter) Hale Telescope. Caltech astronomer Avishay Gal-Yam had two hours before the supernova would dip too low in the sky for the telescope to see it.

Still more luminous than a billion suns, the supernova outshone the combined light from all the stars in its home galaxy, glowing white-hot from the radioactive decay of unstable nickel atoms forged in the explosion. Gal-Yam pointed to a computer screen showing a squiggly line—the glow broken down into its component colors, or wavelengths. Each dip in the line represented a wavelength of light absorbed by a different element—silicon, cobalt, calcium, iron—in the debris of the star.

Destruction and creation were conjoined on the screen. The elements revealed there, like those from countless earlier supernovas, will eventually find their way into new stars and perhaps new planets, Gal-Yam said. He added: "I'm just really happy to be observing this."

The star had begun its race to destruction long before that night on Palomar, when it began to lose a lifelong fight against gravity. Gravity is responsible for setting newborn stars aflame, by squeezing atoms of hydrogen in the star's core so tightly that they fuse to make helium. The fusion generates light and heat and also exerts pressure that allows the core to withstand the enormous weight of the star's outer layers.

But when the core consumes all of its hydrogen, gravity compresses it. The temperature of the shrinking core rises to about a hundred million degrees, hot enough for helium nuclei to fuse and make carbon. The new surge of energy keeps the core from collapsing much further.

For an isolated star no heavier than the sun, there is little more to the story. The star burns all of its helium and shrivels. It turns into a white dwarf about the size of Earth, aging and cooling indefinitely—unless it lies close enough to another star to steal its neighbor's outer layers of hydrogen. If enough material falls onto the white dwarf, the siphoned fuel ignites a thermonuclear explosion. As the detonation spreads, the entire star blows up in what is known as a type 1a supernova—a giant nuclear bomb.

The supernova blossoming over Palomar was a different kind: not a thermonuclear blast but a star's catastrophic collapse. This is the only kind of supernova that can unleash a gamma-ray burst, and it is the inevitable fate of a star more than eight times as massive as the sun.

Such heavyweight stars always lose their battle with gravity. With the crushing weight of the star's outer layers bearing down on its core, the fusion reactions don't stop at carbon. The star continues to cook lighter nuclei into progressively heavier elements, but each nuclear reaction runs its course faster. The transformation from carbon to oxygen takes 600 years, from oxygen to silicon 6 months, from silicon to iron a day. Once the star's core turns to solid iron—a sphere no bigger than Earth that weighs as much as the sun—its fate is sealed. In less than a second, the star will explode.

Iron marks the end of the road because unlike lighter elements, iron atoms consume rather than create energy when they fuse. Fusion can no longer provide the energy to support the star's outer layers, and the core simply implodes. Usually the result is a neutron star, a stellar cinder so dense a teaspoon would weigh more than a billion tons. In the most massive stars the collapse leaves only a voracious pit called a black hole.

At this point, Woosley believes—before the collapse somehow turns into an explosion—some supernovas unleash a blast of gamma rays. Woosley's interest in these bursts goes back decades, when they were so mysterious that over a hundred more or less serious ideas about their cause were in play, from "starquakes" to the exhaust plumes of alien spacecraft. But his fascination deepened in the early 1990s, when a spacecraft called the Compton Gamma-Ray Observatory showed that gamma-ray bursts originate far beyond our galaxy. To appear as bright as they do, they had to be more energetic than anyone had imagined—far brighter than supernovas, Woosley's first love.

They also needed a source of energy far beyond what any ordinary star could provide. Perhaps the cataclysmic jolt of a collapsing star could somehow be harnessed to produce gamma rays. So Woosley set out to determine how a core-collapse supernova could generate a burst.

He and his collaborators, including Andrew MacFadyen of New York University, stage their explosions in computers. They start with a whopper of a star, about 40 times the mass of the sun, spinning so fast—several hundred miles a second at the equator—that it barely keeps from flying apart. Near the end of its life, unable to resist the pull of its own gravity, the core of the star collapses to make a black hole. But because the star has so much spin, some of the infalling material resists the tug of the newborn black hole. A swirling disk of material forms around the hole—a maelstrom deep within the doomed star.

"Rotation is the name of the game," says Woosley. Without spin, there would be no disk. And without a disk, there'd be no burst. Friction heats the disk, whipping around the black hole thousands of times a second, to 40 billion degrees (22 billion degrees Celsius), while new material keeps cascading in. Moments after the black hole forms, jets of superheated gas blowtorch outward.

Each jet may draw its energy directly from the friction in the disk, or from the newborn black hole, via the magnetic fields that link it to its surroundings. Like the original star, the black hole spins frenetically, which could cause the fields to stretch, twist, and snap like rubber bands, dumping vast amounts of energy into the disk.

Either way, the jet shoots outward, reaching the surface of the star in a mere ten seconds. If the star has retained its original, puffy envelope of hydrogen gas, the jet stops dead and the gamma-ray burst may fizzle. But if the powerful winds that blow from some massive stars have stripped away the hydrogen earlier in the star's life, the jet escapes, arrowing into space at more than 99 percent of the speed of light.

Now comes the burst: High-speed collisions between blobs of material in each jet produce a cascade of speedy electrons. The electrons whirl around the jet's magnetic fields, flinging out gamma rays. Over many days, as the jet plows into the thin gas between the stars, it generates an afterglow at visible, infrared, and radio wavelengths.

The February 2006 burst was dimmer than most, perhaps because the star was not massive enough to form a black hole. Woosley suggests that the same sequence of events—an implosion, a spinning disk, jets—can still happen when the stellar collapse ends with the formation of a fast-spinning neutron star rather than a black hole.

Even after the jets have erupted, the star has not yet exploded. "The jet gets to the surface of the star minutes beforehand," says Woosley. "The burst is a herald of the supernova."

It's not enough, however, to cause the explosion. "Just running a jet through a star won't make a very good supernova," says Woosley. "It will unbind some of the star, but most of it will fall back." To make a collapsing star explode, he says, "there needs to be something else."

In the stars that launch gamma-ray bursts, the spinning black hole and the disk may pump out enough energy to blow the star apart. But in most collapsing stars, the collapse ends when the Earth-size core crunches into a neutron star the size of a city, at a temperature of a hundred billion degrees (55 billion degrees Celsius). This is the point of maximum scrunch. The squeezed core rebounds like a squished sponge, launching a shock wave that races outward, ramming into the material that is still pouring down from the star's outer layers.

Astronomers once thought this shock would be enough to tear the star apart and generate the explosion, says Adam Burrows of the University of Arizona. Turns out it's not so simple.

Simulating a supernova gobbles enormous amounts of computer power, and even the largest supercomputers can't fully reproduce an exploding star in three dimensions. But over the years the models have improved, and the shock wave scenario has fallen apart.

Researchers found that less than a thousandth of a second after the shock wave is generated, a flood of tiny, nearly massless particles called neutrinos escapes from the center of the star. The neutrinos, born in the collapsing core, drain energy from the shock wave. The shock stalls, and—at least in the computer—the supernova is a dud.

Now Burrows and his colleagues are working with a computer model powerful enough to simulate how the core shakes and churns during the collapse, and they've finally seen how a collapsing star could turn around and explode. The turbulent infalling gas starts shaking the core, causing it to pulsate. Raining down from the star's outer layers, the gas wraps around the core, dancing over its surface and penetrating its depths.

"The core is oscillating, and the stuff falling onto the core is exciting it," says Burrows. In about eight-tenths of a second, the oscillations are so intense they send out sound waves. The waves exert a pressure that expels material, reinforcing the shock wave created by the star's collapse. They also amplify the core's vibrations in a runaway reaction, says Burrows, "until the star finally explodes."

For someone brave enough to come within hearing distance, the waves would be audible, roughly the F note above middle C.

Burrows acknowledges that sound waves may not be the full story. But his model tends to produce a lopsided explosion, and stars do indeed explode asymmetrically, with more punch in some directions than others. That was true for supernova 1987A, recorded 20 years ago, the closest and brightest supernova since 1604. Astronomers also have found that some of the neutron stars left behind by supernovas zip along at 500 miles a second (800 kilometers a second), as if the explosion had imparted an enormous kick in one direction.

Stronger evidence for the sound wave idea could come from two sprawling facilities, in Hanford, Washington, and Livingston, Louisiana, designed to detect gravitational waves—ripples in the fabric of space and time. Gravitational waves, predicted by Einstein's theory of general relativity but never directly observed, should be produced whenever immense masses shake and twist, as they do in the core of a supernova.

If sound waves really are at work inside a collapsing star, it should vibrate only at certain frequencies, generating matching gravitational waves. Burrows calculates that for a supernova in or near our galaxy, the existing detectors could pick up these signals—clues to a big, big noise.

Stars, it seems, really may go kaboom. Woosley, still in love with pyrotechnics, is delighted. "It's like God built the universe just for me."

NASA Delays Mars Probe

NASA is dumping plans for next year’s launch an ambitious science probe to the surface of Mars to search for signs of life.

The new plan, outlined during a press conference on Thursday, is to fly in 2011, the next time Earth and Mars are favorably positioned.

“If we could delay the launch for a few months we would, but launch opportunities don’t allow that,” said NASA chief Michael Griffin.

The problem revolves around motors in a system being designed to lower the Mars Science Laboratory onto the planet’s surface.

The delays will add another $400 million or more to the probe’s already-ballooned $1.9 billion price tag. Managers expect to delay other Mars probes, and if necessary, other projects in NASA’s space science portfolio, to cover the costs. Those folks weren't at the press conference.

PRI's The World: Technology Podcast 222


To be honest, I've always given myself wide latitude when it comes to choosing what goes into my weekly "tech" podcast. Often, when a major public health story comes along, I find it irresponsible not to pass it along to listeners. And so, the highlight of this week's Tech Podcast (WTP 222) is "Grace," a woman in Ivory Coast who is pictured here holding her AIDS medication. We started with some basic questions. Where were those pills made? How did they get to Grace? And would it be possible to trace a shipment of pills from their point of origin and into her hands? The World's Health and Science Editor, David Baron, takes you on that journey. It's fascinating. It's informative. And there are pictures. We follow David's reported piece with an interview with Elizabeth Pisani, an epidemiologist and author of the book The Wisdom of Whores. Pisani weighs in on PEPFAR (The President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief), the Bush Administration's multi-billion dollar effort to tackle the disease in the developing world.

Not to worry, though, because there's plenty of tech in the WTP this week as well. We go to Croatia and hear about how several opposition activists were arrested recently after they used the social networking site Facebook to, well, poke a bit of fun at the current Prime Minister, and to organize protests against him. Did the online protest translate into boots on the streets of Zagreb? Listen in, and find out.

Next up, we speak with Drew Cogbill, a student at the Parsons The New School for Design in NYC. For his thesis, he wanted to combine his twin love of design and technology in pursuit of a social networking set-up for people without access to the Internet, but with access to phones. His answer? Pigeon.My Pigeon User Number, should you want to add me as a contact, is 345-345.

We also return to CERN, outside of Geneva, to find out how and why the Large Hadron Collider suffered a magnet meltdown, and how scientists and engineers plan to fix the problems.

And we end with a global spin on a story you've probably heard about. President Elect Obama likes his BlackBerry...a lot. But he may have to give it (and maybe even email) up because of national security and privacy concerns. So, we go in search of other world leaders who really, really like their tech. Fun. And it all came courtesy of emails (clark.boyd [at] bbc.co.uk), Facebook messages and Tweets from listeners to the WTP. Thanks!

Humans 80,000 Years Older Than Previously Thought?


Modern humans may have evolved more than 80,000 years earlier than previously thought, according to a new study of sophisticated stone tools found in Ethiopia.

The tools were uncovered in the 1970s at the archaeological site of Gademotta, in the Ethiopian Rift Valley. But it was not until this year that new dating techniques revealed the tools to be far older than the oldest known Homo sapien bones, which are around 195,000 years old.
Using argon-argon dating—a technique that compares different isotopes of the element argon—researchers determined that the volcanic ash layers entombing the tools at Gademotta date back at least 276,000 years.

Many of the tools found are small blades, made using a technique that is thought to require complex cognitive abilities and nimble fingers, according to study co-author and Berkeley Geochronology Center director Paul Renne.

Some archaeologists believe that these tools and similar ones found elsewhere are associated with the emergence of the modern human species, Homo sapiens.

"It seems that we were technologically more advanced at an earlier time that we had previously thought," said study co-author Leah Morgan, from the University of California, Berkeley.

The findings are published in the December issue of the journal Geology.

Desirable Location

Gademotta was an attractive place for people to settle, due to its close proximity to fresh water in Lake Ziway and access to a source of hard, black volcanic glass, known as obsidian.

"Due to its lack of crystalline structure, obsidian glass is one of the best raw materials to use for making tools," Morgan explained.

In many parts of the world, archaeologists see a leap around 300,000 years ago in Stone Age technology from the large and crude hand-axes and picks of the so-called Acheulean period to the more delicate and diverse points and blades of the Middle Stone Age.

At other sites in Ethiopia, such as Herto in the Afar region northeast of Gademotta, the transition does not occur until much later, around 160,000 years ago, according to argon dating. This variety in dates supports the idea of a gradual transition in technology.
"A modern analogy might be the transition from ox-carts to automobiles, which is virtually complete in North America and northern Europe, but is still underway in the developing world," said study co-author Renne, who received funding for the Gadmotta analysis from the National Geographic Society's Committee for Research and Exploration.
Morgan, of UC Berkeley, speculates that the readily available obsidian at Gademotta may explain why the technological revolution occurred so early there.

Complicated family tree

The lack of bones at Gademotta makes it difficult to determine who made these specialist tools. Some archaeologists believe it had to be Homo sapiens, while other experts think that other human species may have had the required mental capability and manual dexterity.

Regardless of who made the tools, the dates help to fill a key gap in the archaeological record, according to some experts.

"The new dates from Gademotta help us to understand the timing of an important behavioral change in human evolution," said Christian Tryon, a professor of anthropology from New York University, who wasn't involved in the study.

If anything, the story has now become more complex, added Laura Basell, an archaeologist at the University of Oxford in the U.K.

"The new date for Gademotta changes how we think about human evolution, because it shows how much more complicated the situation is than we previously thought," Basell said.

"It is not possible to simply associate specific species with particular technologies and plot them in a line from archaic to modern."

Sunday, December 7, 2008

Turning an Energy Hog Into Bacon



One of the biggest offenders on an electric bill is the refrigerator, which can cost $150 annually to power if it's a clunky old one from the 1970s. That inefficiency adds up, unnecessarily stressing the grid. In the UK, the giant utility Npower and clean tech firm RLtec are launching a "smart fridge" trial to tackle this chilly problem.

The trial will start next year with 300 fridges equipped with dynamic demand technology that adjusts in real time to changing grid conditions without affecting performance. Before the end of next year, the program will expand to include 3,000 fridges.

Npower and RLtec just got the green light yesterday after an Imperial College study showed that the technology has the potential to save the country $328 million on energy costs, not including the $1.1 billion that goes to balancing the country's grid annually. Ironically, dynamic demand was invented by American engineer Fred Schweppe in the late 1970s. Seeing as we're in a financial pickle stateside, it'd be cool to see widespread dynamic demand here. Heck, we're already upgrading our TVs.

No More Stupid Chargers


Looking at the jumble of unique chargers and power adapters competing for our electrical outlets, something clearly has to give. Billions of these incongruent devices are manufactured, sold, and ultimately tossed. Plus, they suck up electricity even after they're done working and it's hard to remember to unplug.

The San Ramon, California-based company Green Plug is gearing up to help us with a smarter system. After lugging separate chargers to a friend's wedding, Green Plug founder and CEO Frank Paniagua Jr. envisioned attaching electronics--including larger devices such as computers--to a single, intelligent AC adapter. This green hub would plug into the wall and automatically detect each device's power demands, adjusting the power supply accordingly. Plus, it would turn itself off when not in use.

Green Plug isn't a device company--they make the technology that enables the system to work. To encourage widespread use, they've been licensing their technology to consumer electronics makers for free so future gizmos will be ready. Hard to argue with something useful that's free. Revenue comes from selling chips for the adapters.

So far Green Plug's system has just been a clever concept that's well-received at demos and in the press. However, a little birdie tells me that the company will be announcing a manufacturing partnership in a few weeks. The resulting intelligent adapters are scheduled to hit the market next spring, right in time for wedding season.

"Stem Cell Tourists" Go Abroad for Unproven Treatments


When Robert Ramirez was diagnosed with Parkinson's disease in 2006, his doctor gave him medication, but little hope: "He told me there wasn't much I could do except wait to 'pass to the other side.'"

Ramirez, a Peruvian-American mechanic in northern New Jersey, watched helplessly as his symptoms worsened. His left arm grew weak. His leg muscles went rigid. His trembling intensified.
Then his wife, Elvira, saw Jorge Tuma on a Peruvian news show. The Peruvian doctor, based in Lima, claimed to be treating Parkinson's and other diseases with injections of stem cells. They checked out his Web site: For $6,000, relief could be theirs. They booked a flight to Lima.

Ramirez is one of an increasing number of patients seeking stem cell therapies overseas—experts put the number in the thousands. And Tuma is one of dozens of non-U.S. doctors offering such treatments.

The trend is significant enough that the International Society for Stem Cell Research (ISSCR) released guidelines today for doctors using stem cells and would-be "stem cell tourists."

U.S. experts fear that some foreign doctors are rashly treating patients without waiting for clinical trials to validate the safety of their procedures.

"There are many doctors tapping into the public's sense of stem cells' potential to cure in countries with looser medical regulations," said Sean Morrison, director of the University of Michigan Center for Stem Cell Biology, and treasurer of ISSCR. "But the details of stem cell treatment are much more complicated."

Yet stem cell therapies are becoming a lucrative area of medical tourism, even though science has yet to divine their potential and controversy plagues the field.

The cells, found in embryos and certain adult body tissues, have the potential to grow into many different types of cells. But ethical issues surrounding the use of embryos as stem cell sources has slowed research in countries such as the U.S. and U.K.

Researchers in the U.S. are conducting clinical trials using both adult and embryonic stem cells to treat diseases, but the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has yet to license any such treatment.
The new ISSCR guidelines require that every treatment must be evaluated by experts with no vested interest in the procedure. The guidelines also advocate for an informed consent process, which would provide patients with full information about their procedure, and transparency in reporting of clinical trial results.

The ISSCR's handbook for patients advises against experimental stem cell treatments—those that are not part of official clinical trials. It also lists warning signs for dubious treatments, such as the claim that multiple diseases can be treated with the same type of cell.
That's just one of many optimistic assertions being made by foreign doctors, often on Web sites.

Timothy Caulfield at the University of Alberta's Health Law Institute surveyed 19 sites proffering stem cell treatments, and released his findings today. Ten sites portrayed the treatments as "very ready for public access," rather than experimental.

Most people learn about stem cell treatment offerings from "direct-to-consumer advertising" on the Internet, he said.

"There is a mismatch between what is being offered and what the existing scientific literature says," Caulfield said. "The people offering the treatments are able to trade on two things: the genuine excitement about stem cell research and the social controversy around it."

Clinics charge on average U.S. $21,500 for stem cell treatment, the survey noted, but recent news reports indicate that clinics in China may be charging as much as $70,000.

Researchers have found that unproven stem cell treatments can also cause complications for patients. In 2006, neurologist Bruce Dobkin, of the University of California, Los Angeles, found that some patients contracted meningitis after operations for chronic spinal cord injuries.

Nervous system complications and infections have also been reported after the use of stem cells to treat blood diseases.

Caulfield said that not all doctors offering stem cell therapy are quacks, but he also believes that anyone selling treatment should be publishing data to back up their claims.

"There are still real scientific barriers to this research—even the top stem cell researchers at Stanford University and in the United Kingdom are struggling with clinical trials," Caulfield said.

In the Trenches

Tuma, the cardiologist sought out by Ramirez, the Parkinson's patient, promises to restore ailing organs and tissues using adult stem cells harvested from the patients' own bodies.

Since 2005, Tuma has treated some 600 patients—about a quarter from outside Peru—for a range of conditions from Parkinson's to Type 2 diabetes to emphysema.

His method: injecting the affected organ with stem cells from the patient's own bone marrow.

"I always tell my patients this is not a cure, but I believe it is a tremendous new alternative to improve quality of life," Tuma said.

He operated on Ramirez in October 2007 in a simple procedure lasting 45 minutes. Tuma extracted and prepared bone marrow cells from Ramirez's spine and injected them into an artery in the brain. There, Tuma said, they began to generate new cells that would inhibit the advance of Parkinson's.

Within a week, Ramirez said he began to notice his legs loosen. Then some strength returned to his left arm. He feels better than before the operation and his symptoms are less discernible.

"I can dance with my wife and live almost a normal life," Ramirez said. "I'm very grateful to Dr. Tuma."

Like many doctors offering stem cell treatments, Tuma's approach has not been sanctioned by his country's government.

Though he's published small-scale results of his heart therapies in journals including the Journal of Cardiac Failure and Cardiovascular Revascularization Medicine, he's yet to release papers on the efficacy of his other treatments.

According to Insoo Hyun, a professor of bioethics at Case Western Reserve University and the chairman of the ISSCR Stem Cell Guidelines Task Force, charging patients for unproven treatments is considered unethical.

"Either you're doing research or you're offering a proven therapy, but some of these stem cell doctors seem to want it both ways," Hyun said.

No Time to Wait

Timothy Henry, a cardiologist at the Minneapolis Heart Institute/Abbott Northwestern Hospital, is authorized by the FDA to conduct randomized clinical trials using adult stem cells for heart conditions. He has treated 150 people and said the early data are promising.

But the United States has lagged behind the rest of the world in stem cell research because of the ethical concerns raised over embryonic stem cell research, he admits.

"Adult stem cell research has been very challenging with all the misinformation and confusion about embryonic stem cells," Henry said.

Desperate patients like Ramirez are reluctant to wait on hard evidence and FDA approval, however.

Roberto Brenes is another doctor performing adult stem cell implants. He attracts patients to a clinic in San Jose, Costa Rica, through the Web site cellmedicine.com.

He and his colleagues have treated between 50 and 70 multiple sclerosis patients with stem cells taken from fat tissue, charging between $15,000 and $25,000, with what he said are "pretty good success rates."

While Brenes acknowledges that there has never been a clinical trial demonstrating the efficacy of stem cell therapy for MS, he said many patients do not want to wait.

"This area is going to progress a lot in the next ten to 15 years, but a lot of patients need therapeutic help now and want to go through with the procedure," Brenes said.

Even if it means expensive follow-up visits: Tuma has told Ramirez to see him every six months so that he can check on his progress. And Tuma said that if the Parkinson's symptoms return, another procedure might be needed.

"I know the therapy is not a complete cure, but I don't think it's dangerous and would do it again," Ramirez said.

The ISSCR's Morrison, however, remains skeptical.

"A lot of patients will spend $6,000 to buy hope, but that still doesn't make it right to sell snake oil."

'RoboClam' Anchor Holds Ships Steady


Ships have changed dramatically over the last few thousand years, but one piece of technology -- the heavy, metal anchor -- has remained largely untouched. But scientists have now created a light-weight, cigarette-sized anchor that burrows itself into the sea floor, anchoring anything from small unmanned submersible to maybe even huge oil platforms.
The new anchor is based on one of nature's faster diggers, the oblong-shaped razor clam, Ensis directus.
"It turns out that clams are actually very fast diggers," said Anette "Peko" Hosoi of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. "One of my students, Amos Winter, actually calls the razor clams we looked at something like the Ferreri of the clam world."
The RoboClam, as the device is called, digs itself into the ground in two ways, similar to how a razor clam digs.
First, the RoboClam vibrates, changing the relatively solid seabed into a quicksand-like fluid that is easier to dig through. Then the two "shells" of the machine expand, locking the anchor in place, while a worm-like foot pushes down. Once the foot is embedded, the shells contract and the foot pulls the rest of the machine down.
The team is still testing and refining the machine. For now, the RoboClam can push down with about 80 pounds of force, 36 times greater than a razor clam, and dig up to 15 inches deep. The researchers hope the RoboClam will eventually dig twice as far as a razor clam, which can reach depths of more than 28 inches at a rate of about 0.4 inches per second.
Once deep enough, the RoboClam is more than 10 times stronger and an order of magnitude more energetically efficient at burrowing than other vibration-based anchors. It is several orders of magnitude more efficient than traditional anchors, and, if necessary, can even dig itself out.
"I was amazed when I saw those numbers," said Hosoi. "I thought we were onto something great then."
The MIT scientists originally developed the RoboClam to anchor a small submersible known as the Bluefin, which was designed to gather information from the seabed. A traditional anchor would weigh too much and other vibration-based anchors took too much energy to use, both of which limited the use of the Bluefin. The RoboClam should solve these problems.
That's the theory, at least, said Wolfgang Lohsert, an expert in granular media at the University of Maryland who is testing the RoboClam to more fully explain the burrowing abilities of the RoboClam and razor clams.
"If you can dig more directly into sandy soil and also control the direction of the digging, there are a number of applications, including exploration of natural resources," said Lohsert. Oil giant Chevron is considering using the RoboClam as a new way to anchor its huge off-shore oil platforms. It might even be possible to use the drill on dry land.

New Model of Jupiter's Core Ignites Planet Birth Debate


Underneath its swirling cloud layers, Jupiter may harbor a solid core roughly equal in mass to 16 Earths—more than twice as large as previously believed.

That's the conclusion of a controversial new computer simulation that represents the first radical rethinking of the planet's core in nearly two decades.
The work has reignited debate among planetary scientists over how gas giants such as Jupiter first formed.

"The biggest surprise was the large core," said study leader Burkhard Militzer of the University of California, Berkeley.

"We concluded that the planet formed by core accretion," when colliding grains of dust, ice, and small planetary bodies meld to create planetary embryos and eventually fully formed planets.

Core of the Issue

Many scientists think core accretion is a good model for the birth of rocky terrestrial planets.

But it has been hard to apply to gas giants, which are so gassy and massive that simulations suggest they wouldn't have had enough time to grow as large as they are between their core formations and now.

One leading alternative theory, championed by Alan Boss of the Carnegie Institution in Washington, D.C., is disk instability.

This is when clumps of gases inside the disk of planet-forming material around a young star will cool and collapse to form gas giants.

But if Jupiter really has a much larger rock-ice core than thought, Militzer said, the accretion model becomes a better fit.

The study comes just about two years ahead of a recently approved NASA mission called Juno that may finally put an end to the decades-long dispute.


"The real surprise [from Juno] would be if Jupiter has no core at all," Boss said. "Both models for making Jupiter would be in trouble."

For their study, Militzer and colleagues used advanced computer simulations to model changes in temperature, density, and pressure all the way to Jupiter's deep interior.
The simulation also used data about Jupiter's size and gravity field obtained by previous spacecraft, noted co-author William Hubbard of the University of Arizona.

Details of the simulation were recently published in the Astrophysical Journal Letters.

Militzer thinks that after initial accretion, Jupiter's newly formed core swept through the early solar system and gathered most of the outlying gas left over from the formation of the sun about 4.6 billion years ago.

Based on this notion, it took a mere ten million years for Jupiter to achieve its current heft of 318 Earth masses, most of which is hydrogen and helium gases.

But co-author Hubbard is not ready to endorse any given formation theory.

"There's not agreement even among the model makers about what's going on with Jupiter," he said.

"I'm not wedded to the notion that Jupiter formed by core accretion. That's just a reasonable interpretation of our result.

"With [the Juno mission], I would like to get a diagnostic that shows the signature of a core, perhaps in the circulation of the planet, perhaps in the magnetic field," Hubbard added.

Saturday, December 6, 2008

Reviewing the Proximate Future: 2010 Electric Car Round-up


Two recent articles paint pictures of the future of cars powered partly or fully by electricity. Reported by the DOE's Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy (EERE) division, the LA Auto Show made some of the trends visible. The most prominent, to my mind, was that US companies only showed two vehicles: two new hybrids from Ford. Much busier were European and Japanese companies, including BMW with its all electric MINI E (pictured here).

The trend towards foreign leadership in the electric car space is buttressed by this piece: "Foreign companies advance in race for electric car". The story here is positive for US interests in terms of creating a fertile infrastructure environment for electrics, as California's leaders are teaming with Shai Agassi & Project Better Place with the expressed goal of making San Francisco the “Electric Vehicle Capital of the U.S.” Notably absent in this work, however, are the Big 3 US car makers. Right now, they face short term structural and existential challenges and may not have the bandwidth to invest much in the future. Here's hoping they survive long enough to reinvent themselves ... and their cars.

Tom Leppert Has a Little Conversation with T. Boone Pickens


It was "only five, maybe ten minutes," Dallas Mayor Tom Leppert said of his conversation with T. Boone on using natural gas instead of diesel (the City is on the verge committing its bus fleet to diesel). It's interesting how competing objectives and moving target costs can obscure clear choice. Diesel saves $54 million over natural gas, proponents said at first...$200 million they said later. How are they forecasting for diesel and natural gas, given the volatile price histories of each? Is there a way for them to make account for the external costs of foreign diesel dependency? Are the fuels environmentally equivalent (diesel was dirty but is getting cleaner, but is it cleaner than natural gas today; will it get cleaner still going forward--who can weigh in authoritatively)?

In the absence of an over-arching national strategy (sustainably eliminate foreign oil dependence, for instance), it's tougher to evaluate options for local decisions with so many moving price pieces and in the swirl of so many opinions. Here's hoping that people like incoming National Security Advisor Jim Jones, a former Marine with a keen sense of how energy and national security issues intersect, can articulate a national strategy that creates a meaty backdrop for state and local decision making (like the for-now-stalled Dallas fleet fueling decision).

National strategy doesn't have to dole out incentives to influence local decision making. Example. Building mechanical engineers often over-designed air conditioning and air distribution systems because "you don't get in trouble with building owners if occupants don't complain," and most owners weren't good at connecting sloppy, inflated construction design with inflated construction costs and utility bills. Green building strategy helped us re-look at the habit of over-designing air conditioning and brought a renewed focus on efficient design. Green building strategy didn't hand out rebates to go green, it just helped people think about things differently.

Likewise, a clear national strategy to eliminate our dependence on foreign oil could help shape that swirl of opinion that decides whether city buses are diesel or natural gas.

Antarctic Cruise Ship Runs Aground; Oil Leak Spreading?


A cruise ship stranded itself on Antarctica's western peninsula on Thursday, and may be leaking unknown amounts of oil into the fragile oceans, one expert said.

All 122 passengers and crew were rescued from the leaking ship, Ushuaia, on Friday by the Chilean Navy. The ship did not appear to be in danger of sinking.
The Chilean vessel Aquiles transported 89 passengers and 33 crew members to the Presidente Frei Naval Base in Antarctica.

Jon Bowermaster, a National Geographic Expeditions Council grantee and writer, was on the National Geographic Explorer about 30 miles (48.2 kilometers) from the cruise ship when it ran aground after hitting a rock.
"We were in the same area on Wednesday, when hurricane force winds blew for much of the day, gusting over 100 miles [161 kilometers] per hour," Bowermaster told National Geographic News in an email from the Explorer.

"The Ushuaia reported having been in heavy weather; whether or not this contributed to its [grounding] is speculation, but would make sense."

Bowermaster witnessed the sinking of another Antarctic tourist vessel in November 2007. All 154 passengers of the Canadian M.S. Explorer escaped safely.

Alarm Call

The Panamanian-flagged Ushuaia sent out alarms midday Thursday after it started leaking fuel and taking on water.

A rock damaged the hull as the vessel passed through the Gerlache Strait, Chilean Captain Pedro Ojeda told Argentina's Telam news agency. The crash left the boat adrift in Guillermina Bay.

The Chilean Navy said the cruise ship was carrying 14 Danish passengers, 12 Americans, 11 Australians, 9 Germans, 7 Argentines, 7 British, 6 Chinese, 6 Spaniards, 5 Swiss, 3 Italians, 2 French, 2 Canadians, 2 Irish, a Belgian and a New Zealander. All were in good condition.

The cruise ship, built in 1970, operates from the Port of Ushuaia in southern Argentina, transporting passengers to Antarctica and islands in the icy waters of the South Atlantic.
The navy positioned the ship Lautaro near the abandoned Ushuaia in an attempt to prevent any environmental damage from leaking fuel.
But Bowermaster said it's still unknown how much fuel oil has spilled from the ship.

"A Chilean plane reports seeing no major leak, but it [has] also reported that a fuel leak has spread for half a mile around the ship," he wrote.

"Though containment efforts are being made, it is windy in the area again and the leak is spreading."

Ushuaia may not be able to free itself from the rocks, and has at least one hole, Bowermaster added.

"A sinking ship in this pristine, narrow channel would have long-lasting impact on both the local environment and the future of tourism along the [Antarctic] Peninsula."

"Accident Waiting to Happen"

In addition to the 2007 sinking of the M.S. Explorer, another ship—the Norwegian M.S. Fram—lost engine power during an electrical outage in December 2007 and struck a glacier, smashing a lifeboat but causing no injuries among its 300 passengers.
A boom in Antarctic tourism may be an "accident waiting to happen,"
More than 30,000 tourists were estimated to have made the trek to Antarctica on some 50 different ships during the November 2007 to February 2008 cruise season, according to the International Association of Antarctic Tour Operators, a trade group.

"A big question for those who oversee and monitor tourism in Antarctica is [whether] there be limits on who can visit Antarctica, and on what kind of ship?" Bowermaster added.

Public Ambivalent About Human Enhancing Nanotech


A team of researchers from North Carolina State University and Arizona State University recently released their "Public Awareness of Nanotechnology Study," the first national survey to examine public opinion on the use of nanotechnology for human enhancement. Enhancement meaning, among other things, artificial eyesight, human biomarkers that detect diseases early, implants to improve performance of soldiers on the battlefield and brain implants to permit basic computer to brain functions.

The researchers say, "Overall, we find that attitudes are largely ambivalent and dependent on the information provided in the question wording, but also that interest declines as they learn more and that equity is fairly important concern regarding the long-term distribution of potential benefits."

Some interesting findings:

Most people say they have not heard anything about nano for human enhancements (61%), while just 38% say they have heard nothing about nanotechnology in general.
Of those who have heard something about nanotechnology, most people associate it with “machines and computers” (84%) rather than “consumer products” (47%), even though nano-based applications are mostly enhancements to consumer products.
Interestingly, far fewer people believed that human enhancements were important at the end of the survey after they had been asked more questions about it (55%) than at the beginning before they heard much about it (81%).
I think the last point is the most interesting and harkens back to a post I did in October about how people filter scientific information. An increase in knowledge about the benefits of a particular scientific approach isn't necessarily going to garner more support.

Walruses Threatened by Shrinking Ice


A conservation group is going to court to force the federal government to consider adding the Pacific walrus to the list of threatened species.
The Center for Biological Diversity sued the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and Interior Secretary Dirk Kempthorne on Wednesday for failing to act on a petition seeking protection for walruses under the Endangered Species Act.
Walruses are threatened by global warming that melts Arctic sea ice, according to the group, one of the parties that successfully petitioned to list polar bears as threatened. The group also has filed petitions to protect Arctic seals.
The walrus petition was filed in February. The Fish and Wildlife Service was required by law to decide by May 8 whether the petition had merit, which would trigger a more thorough review and a preliminary decision after 12 months. The agency missed the deadline.Rebecca Noblin, an attorney for the Center for Biological Diversity, said the delay would harm walruses.
"Every day that goes by without protecting the walrus, we're emitting more greenhouse gases, accelerating the ice melt," Noblin said.
"In addition to the climate change, the other main threat is oil and gas development that continues to go forward without any consultation regarding walrus," she said.
Fish and Wildlife spokesman Bruce Woods said Wednesday the agency anticipates making a decision on the petition soon but has limited resources. Decisions on endangered species listings are driven by litigation, he said, forcing the agency to rank actions by court order rather than species need.
Global warming is blamed for Arctic sea ice shrinking to record low levels.
The National Snow and Ice Data Center said summer sea ice in 2008 reached the second lowest level, 1.74 million square miles, since satellite monitoring began in 1979. The loss was exceeded only by the 1.65 million square miles in 2007.
Like polar bears, listed as a threatened species in May, walruses depend on sea ice to breed and forage.
Walruses dive from ice over the shallow outer continental shelf in search of clams and other benthic creatures. Females and their young traditionally use ice as a moving diving platform, riding it north as it recedes in spring and summer, first in the northern Bering Sea, then into the Chukchi Sea off Alaska's northwest coast.
Sea ice in the Chukchi Sea, shared with the Russian Far East, for the last two years receded well beyond the outer continental shelf over water too deep for walruses to dive to reach clams. In the fall of 2007, herds congregated on Alaska and Siberia shores until ice re-formed.
According to the Center for Biological Diversity, warming sea temperatures and sea ice loss may also be reducing walrus prey at the bottom of the ocean.
The group hopes a listing could slow plans for offshore petroleum development. Oil companies in February bid on 2.7 million acres in the Chukchi Sea. Other lease sales are planned.
The Fish and Wildlife Service, along with its Russian counterparts, has nearly completed a comprehensive population count of walruses. The numbers are anticipated in the coming weeks, possibly by the end of the year, Woods said.

For Carbon Storage, Burn the Bogs?


Burning peat bogs in a controlled way may be a good way to sequester carbon from the atmosphere, according to new research.
Peatlands are dense carbon storage units -- as the woody plants growing on top of the peat die, they fall into oxygen-poor, water-logged soil that keeps their carbon-rich remains preserved indefinitely. Around the world, peat contains 30 percent of all carbon buried in soils, equivalent to slightly less than all of the carbon in the atmosphere today.
"Peatlands suck up between 1 and 2 percent of all anthropogenic carbon emissions in the U.K. annually," Fred Worrall of Durham University in the United Kingdom said.
In the United Kingdom, private land managers burn peatlands regularly to clear space for grouse habitat and sheep grazing. This is no tree-hugging exercise -- the grouse are cultivated for recreational hunting -- but Worrall and Gareth Clay, also of Durham University, think the burning may have the beneficial side effect of enhancing carbon sequestration in the bogs.When the vegetation growing on top of peat bogs burns, some of it turns into black carbon charcoal. The charcoal can sink into the murky depths where it is preserved. In a computer simulation, the researchers found that if controlled burns were applied to optimize this process, the bogs could absorb 20 to 30 percent more carbon than when they were left to grow naturally.
"The key is that only the top heather vegetation can be burned -- what we call a 'cool burn.' Once you start burning down into the litter and soil, all bets are off. It's definitely a carbon source," Worrall said.
There's also a risk that a burn could get out of control and turn into a wildfire, devastating the peat."This is kind of an up and coming idea," said Andrew Zimmermann of the University of Florida. "Making what is called 'biochar' to enhance carbon sequestration has potential to be used all over the world."
Zimmermann pointed to forests as having even more potential to store carbon by making charcoal, because as trees die, their carbon-rich wood and leaf litter are broken down by microorganisms and released back into the atmosphere.
"Peat is already preserving plenty of carbon. What we need is to preserve what is not already being preserved," he said.
But poor land management has severely damaged peat bogs, Worrall said, and erosion is already releasing up to 400 tons of carbon per square kilometer of peat each year from its sodden layers. To reverse that trend, close attention to the bogs is needed -- and perhaps even a fire every now and then.
"If you do nothing, peatlands are sure to become part of our greenhouse gas emissions," Worrall said. "But if we do something and it's the right thing, we can turn this system around and make it part of the solution."